Now reading:

Stay diversified

Stay diversified

  • February 2025
  • By OCBC
  • 10 mins

Given the expected greater volatility ahead with the potential for the trade war to escalate, investors need to tread cautiously in the short term until there is greater clarity, especially with regards to Trump’s tariffs and immigration policies. There is no reason to panic; stay invested but manage risk by investing carefully and through portfolio diversification and dollar cost averaging.

Structured Investments

Theme: China AI and technology leading the next growth leg

President Xi Jinping emphasised his commitment to advance high-level scientific and technological self-reliance. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning are expected to significantly influence China's industries by 2025. The rapid adoption of digital technologies, strong government support and rising demand for AI solutions are driving innovation and growth. The AI sector is projected to grow from US$34.2 billion in 2024 to US$154.8 billion by 2030, with machine learning expected to grow even faster. Large-cap internet and platform companies are leading this growth.

  • Alibaba is the largest online and mobile commerce company in the world in terms of gross merchandise volume (GMV). It operates China’s largest online shopping destination, Taobao Marketplace, and China’s largest third-party platform for brands and retailers, Tmall. Alibaba has been leveraging AI and large language models (LLM) to facilitate their operations, driving ad monetisation and developing AI-integrated ecosystems. The significant increase in CAPEX reflects strong client demand and their commitment to AI infrastructure. Management plans to maintain a similar level of investments in CAPEX over the next few quarters.
  • Tencent provides social networking, music, e-commerce, entertainment, AI, technology services, for instance, across China and globally. Tencent invests heavily in talent and technological innovation, actively promoting the development of the Internet industry. While Tencent primarily earns from games and advertising, its strong presence in financial technology, cloud computing and enterprise software offers substantial long-term potential. With China’s economic size and digital growth, Tencent can turn these services into significant revenue sources.

Bonds

This bond is suitable for those looking for a bond issued by an integrated oil and gas company.

PT Pertamina (USD)

This bond pays a coupon of 3.65% p.a. with maturity on 30 July 2029.

PT Pertamina is wholly owned by the government of Indonesia. It is the only integrated oil and gas company in Indonesia. It is strategically important to the Indonesian government given that it produces about 55% of the country’s fuel requirements, has a near-total market share of Indonesia's retail filling station network, owns and operates nearly all the downstream oil refining capacity within Indonesia and controls more than 90% of the gas distribution pipelines and most of the gas transmission pipelines in Indonesia.

Though operations are primarily located in Indonesia, Pertamina also maintains upstream assets in the Middle East, Europe, Americas, and Africa through its operating subsidiaries. Given its state linkages and strategic importance, Pertamina has robust access to financing channels.

Funds

Multi-asset Funds

Lion-Bank of Singapore CIO Supertrends Multi Asset Fund

The Lion-BOS CIO Supertrends Multi-Asset Fund is a multi-asset strategy that aims to provide income and long-term capital growth by investing in a diversified portfolio of asset classes including global equities, ETFs, global bonds, the writing of equity covered call options and other collective investment schemes. Guided by research from Bank of Singapore’s award-winning Chief Investment Office, the fund takes a rigorous research-based approach to identify quality companies within equities and fixed income with resilient business models and robust fundamentals. The fund also has distribution share classes for investors looking for dividend income.

PIMCO Balanced Income & Growth Fund

The PIMCO Balanced Income & Growth Fund is a global multi-sector strategy that seeks to combine PIMCO’s total return investment process and philosophy with income maximization. The Portfolio construction is founded on the principle of diversification across a broad range of equity and global fixed income securities. The fund has a historical annualised dividend yield of 7.08% p.a.

Note: Past performance figures do not reflect future performance. Dividend figures are from Bloomberg, as of 31 January 2025.

Bond Funds

PIMCO GIS Income Fund

The PIMCO GIS Income Fund is designed for investors who seek steady income with a secondary goal of capital appreciation. It takes a broad-based approach to investing in income-generating bonds. The fund aims to achieve this by employing PIMCO’s best income-generating ideas across global fixed income sectors. The fund has a historical annualised dividend yield of 6.56% p.a.

Note: Past performance figures do not reflect future performance. Dividend figures are from Bloomberg, as of 31 January 2025.

Equity Funds

AB Low Volatility Equity Portfolio Fund

The AB Low Volatility Equity Portfolio fund is a global equity fund seeking capital growth through securities of companies that the fund manager believes have lower volatility. Its investment approach focuses on quality, stability and price, where the fund seeks high quality stocks of companies with stable performance and predictable earnings, trading at attractive prices. The fund also has distribution share classes for investors looking for dividend income.

LionGlobal Asia Pacific Fund

The LionGlobal Asia Pacific Fund invests primarily in the equities markets of the Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) region across both emerging and developed markets, with no target industry or sector. The fund aims to achieve capital appreciation by adopting a disciplined investment process and a high conviction approach, focusing on identifying growth opportunities at reasonable prices.

Currencies

Tariff developments remain fluid. As such, we should continue to see more two-way trades dominate.

An intensification of the trade war would result in greater demand for the safe-haven US Dollar (USD), while a trade truce should see the USD’s strength fade. For now, the risk for the USD is skewed to the upside on fears of a trade war escalation. Tariffs may undermine global trade, growth, sentiments and pose risks to US inflation. This may derail its disinflation journey and imply fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025/26. Any further hawkish re-pricing alongside risk-off sentiments will keep the USD supported in the short term.